My predictions for the electoral college

October 27, 2012

Obama – 281 electoral college votes.

Rmoney – 257 electoral college votes.

Obama will take Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin and New Hampshire.

Rmoney will take Florida, Virginia and Colorado.

Only possible upsets? Colorado goes to Obama and New Hampshire goes to Rmoney. In which case its:

Obama – 286

Rmoney – 252

However it goes Obama needs to win in landslides of over 10% in any state with electronic voting machines. Because the Republican owned and controlled voting machines seem to have a little glitch that transfers democratic votes to republicans up to 10%. So a democrat has to have over a 10% lead in order to simply squeak by.

Even if Obama loses Wisconsin and Iowa, he still wins with 270.

If you’d like to play your own electoral college prediction game you can over at fivethirtyeight. If you

If you want to see some unbiased polling, try real clear politics. They combine and smooth the numbers to take out outliers and bias and their polls tend to be the most accurate.


What’s so bad about polling?

January 18, 2010

I think polling influences elections.

If polls come out a few days before a race predicting a winner, even if it’s unlikely, that person gets votes. Voters will vote for the “winner” if they think that person has “already won”.

It’s like when Fox News called the election for Bush.

We’ll see if I’m right. But read more about it at five thirty-eight.

Not many people are going to read through the math and crunch the numbers like this guy. They’ll just believe the latest poll the news reports, whether it’s biased or bogus.

Personally, I’m really pissed. I’m pissed that once again voters are being stupid. Corporations (mostly health) who want to see the health bill defeated are throwing money behind Scott Brown, either directly to his campaign or funding other organizations. Goebbels said it best; tell a lie often enough and people will start to believe it. That’s the essence of Scott Brown’s campaign.

Martha Coakley is a lousy campaigner. She doesn’t like getting up in front of people and bragging about herself or attacking her opponent. But she stands behind the same programs Teddy Kennedy did. She gets it. She is the candidate that will be looking out for the best interests of the public, not the best profits for corporate America.

This seat is the 60th vote. Massachusetts isn’t just voting to represent themselves. They have the future of the entire country in their hands. And they are about to screw us all.

I don’t know what Massachusetts makes but whatever it is, I’m willing to do without. I’ve avoided patronizing any goods or businesses that have anything to do with Utah or the Mormon church because they screwed Californians over Prop 8. (And I am totally behind revoking tax exempt status for all organized religion. That will solve our budget crisis in one fell swoop right there.) I’m willing to shun all things Massachusetts if they screw us over.

Democracy is the worst form of government….except for everything else.

Churchill also said “The best argument against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter”.

En masse we are reduced to the lowest common I.Q. I.E .those that believe the lies bought by corporations spewed by the likes of Rush Limbaugh, Bill O’Reilly, Sean Hannity, Sarah Palin, Pat Robertson……and Scott Brown.

How can any person with an I.Q. higher than their belt size want to voluntarily associate with these mouth breathing pond scum?

Pleae, God. Let Scott Brown stick his foot in it big time. Maybe Sarah Palin can go to Massachusetts and campaign for him?